Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2023
Last updated: Dec 10, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 5, 2023, 12:51PMThe Atlanta Falcons will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in what is expected to be a close NFL Week 14 game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Falcons vs Buccaneers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Falcons vs Buccaneers
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Atlanta-Tampa Bay NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Buccaneers a 51% chance of winning against the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
More: Falcons vs Buccaneers Match Centre
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.80, Buccaneers $2.05
- Line: Falcons -1.5 ($1.91), Buccaneers +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Falcons at $1.80. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Buccaneers at $2.05.
The Falcons are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Buccaneers, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Buccaneers (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 41.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Buccaneers (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.05 with bet365 (51% probability)
- Line: Buccaneers +1.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
Today's Falcons vs Buccaneers betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted score for Falcons vs Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 14 is Buccaneers 20-20 Falcons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Atlanta vs Tampa Bay in Week 14, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs Buccaneers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Buccaneers.
Robinson has a 16.9% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 59.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 16.9% probability
- Drake London: 6.4% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.8% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 4.9% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 4.6% probability
Buccaneers First TD Tips
- Mike Evans: 12.5% probability
- Rachaad White: 11.1% probability
- Chris Godwin: 6.7% probability
- Baker Mayfield: 6.3% probability
- Trey Palmer: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 59.4% probability
- Drake London: 26.6% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 26.4% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 22.0% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 20.0% probability
Buccaneers Anytime TD Tips
- Mike Evans: 46.5% probability
- Rachaad White: 42.9% probability
- Chris Godwin: 27.2% probability
- Baker Mayfield: 26.7% probability
- Trey Palmer: 20.6% probability
Falcons-Buccaneers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is projected for 215 passing yards. The Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 224 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 215 projected passing yards
Buccaneers Starting QB
- Baker Mayfield: 224 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 99 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 32 projected yards
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 17 projected yards
Buccaneers Rushing Yards
- Rachaad White: 52 projected yards
- Chase Edmonds: 13 projected yards
- Baker Mayfield: 13 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 54 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 41 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 26 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 21 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 20 projected yards
Buccaneers Receiving Yards
- Mike Evans: 79 projected yards
- Chris Godwin: 53 projected yards
- Trey Palmer: 30 projected yards
- Cade Otton: 29 projected yards
- Rachaad White: 28 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay match-up at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Week 14 Preview
The NFL Week 14 game between the Falcons and Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Date: Monday 11 December 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Atlanta vs Tampa Bay predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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