Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2024
Last updated: Oct 4, 2024, 12:16AM | Published: Sep 27, 2024, 4:26AM
The Atlanta Falcons will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL Week 5 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Friday, commencing at 10:15am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Falcons vs Buccaneers game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Atlanta vs Tampa Bay NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 57% chance of beating the Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.71, Buccaneers $2.20
- Line: Falcons -2.5 ($1.91), Buccaneers +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.71 and the Buccaneers at $2.20.
The Falcons are 2.5-point favourites against the Buccaneers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Buccaneers (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Buccaneers (+2.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 44-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $1.71 with Bet365
- Line: Buccaneers +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Falcons vs Buccaneers predictions are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 5 is the Falcons winning 22-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Falcons vs Buccaneers prediction.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs Buccaneers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Buccaneers.
Robinson has a 13.9% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 52.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 13.9% probability
- Drake London: 9.6% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 6.7% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 6.4% probability
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 6.3% probability
Buccaneers First TD Tips
- Chris Godwin: 9.4% probability
- Mike Evans: 9.4% probability
- Rachaad White: 7.5% probability
- Bucky Irving: 7.5% probability
- Cade Otton: 5.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 52.9% probability
- Drake London: 40.5% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 30.0% probability
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 28.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 27.9% probability
Buccaneers Anytime TD Tips
- Mike Evans: 40.4% probability
- Chris Godwin: 39.7% probability
- Bucky Irving: 33.5% probability
- Rachaad White: 32.6% probability
- Cade Otton: 24.7% probability
Falcons-Buccaneers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 238 passing yards, while the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 248 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 238 projected passing yards
Buccaneers Starting QB
- Baker Mayfield: 248 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 66 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 38 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards
Buccaneers Rushing Yards
- Bucky Irving: 44 projected yards
- Rachaad White: 30 projected yards
- Baker Mayfield: 13 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 66 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 47 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 34 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 31 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 28 projected yards
Buccaneers Receiving Yards
- Chris Godwin: 63 projected yards
- Mike Evans: 59 projected yards
- Cade Otton: 41 projected yards
- Rachaad White: 22 projected yards
- Sterling Shepard: 19 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 match-up between the Falcons and Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:15am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Date: Friday 4 October 2024
- Time: 10:15am AEST
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Tampa Bay predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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