Falcons vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2024
Last updated: Sep 23, 2024, 12:22AM | Published: Sep 16, 2024, 4:30AM
The Atlanta Falcons will face the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 3 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, commencing at 10:20am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Falcons vs Chiefs game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs a 62% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 3 of the NFL season.
Falcons vs Chiefs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Falcons $2.45, Chiefs $1.59
- Line: Falcons +3 ($1.91), Chiefs -3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $2.45 and the Chiefs at $1.59.
The Falcons are listed as 3-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chiefs (-3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookies have got it right and both the Falcons and the Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 46.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Falcons vs Chiefs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.59 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs -3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Falcons vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 3 is the Chiefs winning 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs Kansas City game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Falcons vs Chiefs prediction.
Falcons vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Chiefs.
Robinson has a 14.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 55.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 14.2% probability
- Drake London: 8.3% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.7% probability
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 4.9% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 4.8% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 9.2% probability
- Carson Steele: 8.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 8.2% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 7.1% probability
- Samaje Perine: 6.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 55.5% probability
- Drake London: 37.2% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 26.5% probability
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 23.8% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 22.7% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 40.2% probability
- Carson Steele: 38.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 36.6% probability
- Samaje Perine: 33.1% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 31.0% probability
Falcons-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 232 passing yards. The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 292 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 232 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 292 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 81 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 33 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Carson Steele: 55 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 33 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 20 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 66 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 38 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 38 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 30 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 29 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 72 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 50 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 42 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 22 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 18 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Kansas City match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Chiefs: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Falcons and Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:20am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 23 September 2024
- Time: 10:20am AEST
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Kansas City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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