Falcons vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2023
Last updated: Oct 15, 2023, 5:01PM | Published: Oct 10, 2023, 4:02AM
The Atlanta Falcons take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 6 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Falcons vs Commanders, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Falcons vs Commanders
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Atlanta-Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 55% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 6 of the NFL season.
More: Falcons vs Commanders Match Centre
Falcons vs Commanders: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.77, Commanders $2.10
- Line: Falcons -2 ($1.91), Commanders +2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Falcons at $1.77 and the Commanders at $2.10.
The Falcons are listed as 2-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Commanders (+2) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 41.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Commanders (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Falcons vs Commanders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $1.77 with PointsBet (55% probability)
- Line: Commanders +2 at $1.91 with PointsBet (52% probability)
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (52% probability)
Today's Falcons vs Commanders best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Falcons vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Commanders at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 6 has the Falcons winning 21-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Atlanta vs Washington in Week 6, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live updates.
Falcons vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Commanders? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Commanders.
Robinson has a 16.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 58.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 16.8% probability
- Drake London: 6.4% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 5.4% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 4.5% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 9.1% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 6.9% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 6.8% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 5.7% probability
- Logan Thomas: 5.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 58.9% probability
- Drake London: 28.2% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 25.1% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 24.2% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 20.1% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 36.5% probability
- Antonio Gibson: 29.6% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 29.0% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 25.0% probability
- Logan Thomas: 23.5% probability
Falcons-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is projected for 189 passing yards, while the Commanders' Sam Howell is expected to throw for 248 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 189 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Sam Howell: 248 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 73 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 41 projected yards
- Desmond Ridder: 15 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 54 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 19 projected yards
- Sam Howell: 18 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 49 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 42 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 30 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 25 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 22 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 70 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 41 projected yards
- Logan Thomas: 34 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 34 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 23 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Washington match-up at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Falcons vs Commanders: Week 6 Preview
The NFL Week 6 game between the Falcons and Commanders at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 16 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Atlanta vs Washington have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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