Falcons vs Cowboys Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 9, 2024
Last updated: Nov 3, 2024, 6:02PM | Published: Oct 28, 2024, 3:51AM
The Atlanta Falcons will face the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 9 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Falcons vs Cowboys game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs Dallas NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Falcons a 59% chance of defeating the Cowboys in Week 9 of the NFL season.
Falcons vs Cowboys: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.59, Cowboys $2.45
- Line: Falcons -3 ($1.91), Cowboys +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.59 and the Cowboys at $2.45.
The Falcons are listed as 3-point favourites against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cowboys (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Falcons and the Cowboys have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 52-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Falcons vs Cowboys: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Dallas at $2.45 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 52 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Falcons vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Cowboys at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 9 is the Falcons winning 26-24.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Atlanta vs Dallas game in Week 9, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Falcons vs Cowboys prediction.
Falcons vs Cowboys: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs Cowboys? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Cowboys.
Robinson has a 13.5% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 57.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 13.5% probability
- Drake London: 10.0% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 6.8% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 6.5% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 6.0% probability
Cowboys First TD Tips
- CeeDee Lamb: 10.0% probability
- Rico Dowdle: 9.1% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 6.1% probability
- Jalen Tolbert: 5.8% probability
- KaVontae Turpin: 5.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 57.1% probability
- Drake London: 47.2% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 33.7% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 32.2% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 30.1% probability
Cowboys Anytime TD Tips
- CeeDee Lamb: 48.0% probability
- Rico Dowdle: 42.6% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 33.0% probability
- Jalen Tolbert: 28.5% probability
- KaVontae Turpin: 27.4% probability
Falcons-Cowboys Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 263 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for 252 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 263 projected passing yards
Cowboys Starting QB
- Dak Prescott: 252 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 75 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 40 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards
Cowboys Rushing Yards
- Rico Dowdle: 58 projected yards
- Dak Prescott: 16 projected yards
- Dalvin Cook: 16 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 80 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 54 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 37 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 35 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 29 projected yards
Cowboys Receiving Yards
- CeeDee Lamb: 81 projected yards
- Jake Ferguson: 50 projected yards
- Jalen Tolbert: 43 projected yards
- Rico Dowdle: 19 projected yards
- Jalen Brooks: 16 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Dallas match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Cowboys: Week 9 Essential Details
The NFL Week 9 game between the Falcons and Cowboys at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys
- Date: Monday 4 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Dallas predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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