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Falcons vs Giants Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2024

The Atlanta Falcons will sqaure off with the New York Giants in NFL Week 16 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Falcons vs Giants game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs NY Giants NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Falcons a 79% chance of winning against the Giants at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Falcons vs Giants: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Falcons $1.20, Giants $4.75
  • Line: Falcons -9.5 ($1.91), Giants +9.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 43 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.20 and the Giants at $4.75.

The Falcons are listed as 9.5-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Giants (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 43 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Giants (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 43-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Falcons vs Giants: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: NY Giants at $4.75 with Bet365
  • Line: Giants +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 43 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
These Falcons vs Giants best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to give you the best possible advice every time.

While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Giants to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Falcons vs Giants: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Giants at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 16 is the Falcons winning 24-16.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs NY Giants game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Falcons vs Giants prediction.

Falcons vs Giants: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Giants? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Giants.

Robinson has a 17.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 61.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Falcons First TD Tips

  • Bijan Robinson: 17.6% probability
  • Drake London: 10.7% probability
  • Darnell Mooney: 7.7% probability
  • Ray-Ray McCloud: 7.0% probability
  • Kyle Pitts: 6.0% probability

Giants First TD Tips

  • Malik Nabers: 8.9% probability
  • Tyrone Tracy: 8.7% probability
  • Darius Slayton: 4.6% probability
  • Wan'Dale Robinson: 4.4% probability
  • Drew Lock: 4.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Falcons Anytime TD Tips

  • Bijan Robinson: 61.5% probability
  • Drake London: 44.6% probability
  • Darnell Mooney: 33.1% probability
  • Ray-Ray McCloud: 30.4% probability
  • Kyle Pitts: 26.5% probability

Giants Anytime TD Tips

  • Tyrone Tracy: 38.0% probability
  • Malik Nabers: 36.3% probability
  • Darius Slayton: 21.5% probability
  • Drew Lock: 20.9% probability
  • Wan'Dale Robinson: 20.5% probability

Falcons-Giants Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Michael Penix is projected for 226 passing yards, while the Giants' Drew Lock is expected to throw for 244 yards.

Falcons Starting QB

  • Michael Penix: 226 projected passing yards

Giants Starting QB

  • Drew Lock: 244 projected passing yards

Falcons Rushing Yards

  • Bijan Robinson: 83 projected yards
  • Tyler Allgeier: 33 projected yards
  • Michael Penix: 15 projected yards

Giants Rushing Yards

  • Tyrone Tracy: 65 projected yards
  • Drew Lock: 20 projected yards
  • Devin Singletary: 16 projected yards

Falcons Receiving Yards

  • Drake London: 75 projected yards
  • Darnell Mooney: 54 projected yards
  • Ray-Ray McCloud: 37 projected yards
  • Kyle Pitts: 35 projected yards
  • Bijan Robinson: 31 projected yards

Giants Receiving Yards

  • Malik Nabers: 75 projected yards
  • Wan'Dale Robinson: 42 projected yards
  • Darius Slayton: 33 projected yards
  • Daniel Bellinger: 26 projected yards
  • Tyrone Tracy: 18 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs NY Giants game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Falcons vs Giants: Week 16 Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Falcons and Giants at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Atlanta vs NY Giants predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

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Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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