Falcons vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 12, 2023
Last updated: Nov 26, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 20, 2023, 1:52AM
The Atlanta Falcons take on the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 12 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Falcons vs Saints, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Falcons vs Saints
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Atlanta-New Orleans NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 62% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 12 of the NFL season.
More: Falcons vs Saints Match Centre
Falcons vs Saints: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $2.10, Saints $1.77
- Line: Falcons +1.5 ($1.91), Saints -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Falcons at $2.10 and the Saints at $1.77.
The Falcons are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the favourite Saints (-1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Falcons vs Saints is set at 42 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (-1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the line, while the 42-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Falcons vs Saints: Best Bets
- Head to Head: New Orleans at $1.77 with PointsBet (62% probability) 🔥
- Line: Saints -1.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (60% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 42 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Falcons vs Saints betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Falcons vs Saints: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 12 has the Saints winning 22-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Atlanta vs New Orleans in Week 12, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Falcons vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Saints? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Saints.
Robinson has a 13.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 49.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 13.1% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 6.8% probability
- Drake London: 6.4% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.1% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 3.7% probability
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 12.0% probability
- Chris Olave: 9.5% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 9.4% probability
- A.T. Perry: 6.5% probability
- Jamaal Williams: 5.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 49.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 28.8% probability
- Drake London: 28.6% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 22.6% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 16.6% probability
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 44.4% probability
- Chris Olave: 37.9% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 36.6% probability
- A.T. Perry: 27.4% probability
- Jamaal Williams: 22.8% probability
Falcons-Saints Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is projected for 210 passing yards, while the Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 227 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 210 projected passing yards
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 227 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 68 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 39 projected yards
- Desmond Ridder: 17 projected yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 56 projected yards
- Jamaal Williams: 22 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 14 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 58 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 37 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 28 projected yards
- Van Jefferson: 25 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 23 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Chris Olave: 61 projected yards
- Rashid Shaheed: 56 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 36 projected yards
- A.T. Perry: 30 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs New Orleans match-up at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Falcons vs Saints: Week 12 Preview
The NFL Week 12 match-up between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
- Date: Monday 27 November 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Atlanta vs New Orleans have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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