Falcons vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2024
Last updated: Sep 29, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 22, 2024, 5:01PM
The Atlanta Falcons will face the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 4 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Falcons vs Saints game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs New Orleans NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 59% chance of beating the Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Falcons vs Saints: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.67, Saints $2.25
- Line: Falcons -2.5 ($1.91), Saints +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.67 and the Saints at $2.25.
The Falcons are 2.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Saints (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Falcons and the Saints have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 42.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Falcons vs Saints: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Saints +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Falcons vs Saints: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 4 is the Falcons winning 22-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Atlanta vs New Orleans game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Falcons vs Saints prediction.
Falcons vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs Saints? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Saints.
Robinson has a 15.5% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 55.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 15.5% probability
- Drake London: 9.4% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 6.8% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 6.3% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 5.0% probability
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 13.7% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 8.5% probability
- Chris Olave: 6.3% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 3.4% probability
- Jamaal Williams: 3.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 55.9% probability
- Drake London: 38.2% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 28.7% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 25.6% probability
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 22.2% probability
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 50.1% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 35.5% probability
- Chris Olave: 26.0% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 15.4% probability
- Jamaal Williams: 14.5% probability
Falcons-Saints Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 233 passing yards, while the Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 213 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 233 projected passing yards
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 213 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 78 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 33 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 66 projected yards
- Jamaal Williams: 16 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 12 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 66 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 46 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 35 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 29 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 27 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Chris Olave: 57 projected yards
- Rashid Shaheed: 44 projected yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 22 projected yards
- Foster Moreau: 22 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 21 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Atlanta vs New Orleans game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Saints: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 game between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
- Date: Monday 30 September 2024
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs New Orleans predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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