Falcons vs Steelers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2024
Last updated: Sep 8, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Aug 21, 2024, 2:03PM
The Atlanta Falcons will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 1 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Falcons vs Steelers game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs Pittsburgh NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Falcons a 64% chance of winning against the Steelers in Week 1 of the NFL season.
Falcons vs Steelers: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.49, Steelers $2.70
- Line: Falcons -4 ($1.91), Steelers +4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.49 and the Steelers at $2.70.
The Falcons are listed as 4-point favourites against the Steelers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Steelers (+4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Falcons and the Steelers have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 43-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Falcons vs Steelers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.70 with Bet365
- Line: Steelers +4 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 43 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Steelers to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Falcons vs Steelers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 1 is the Falcons winning 22-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Falcons vs Steelers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Steelers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Steelers.
Robinson has a 14.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 53.5% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 14.8% probability
- Drake London: 9.5% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 7.9% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 5.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 5.4% probability
Steelers First TD Tips
- Najee Harris: 9.0% probability
- Justin Fields: 7.6% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 7.3% probability
- George Pickens: 6.9% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 4.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 53.5% probability
- Drake London: 40.1% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 32.2% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 24.7% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 23.7% probability
Steelers Anytime TD Tips
- Najee Harris: 37.2% probability
- Justin Fields: 32.5% probability
- George Pickens: 30.0% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 29.7% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 20.5% probability
Falcons-Steelers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 246 passing yards, while the Steelers' Justin Fields is expected to throw for just 169 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 246 projected passing yards
Steelers Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 169 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 72 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 33 projected yards
- Jase McClellan: 9 projected yards
Steelers Rushing Yards
- Najee Harris: 54 projected yards
- Jaylen Warren: 49 projected yards
- Justin Fields: 48 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 71 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 47 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 40 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 27 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 25 projected yards
Steelers Receiving Yards
- George Pickens: 49 projected yards
- Pat Freiermuth: 34 projected yards
- Van Jefferson: 24 projected yards
- Calvin Austin: 20 projected yards
- Jaylen Warren: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Steelers: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 game between the Falcons and Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Monday 9 September 2024
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Pittsburgh predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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