Falcons vs Vikings Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 9, 2023
Last updated: Nov 5, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Oct 31, 2023, 4:00AM
The Atlanta Falcons play the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 9 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Falcons vs Vikings, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Falcons vs Vikings
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Atlanta-Minnesota NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 63% chance of beating the Vikings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
More: Falcons vs Vikings Match Centre
Falcons vs Vikings: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.54, Vikings $2.65
- Line: Falcons -4 ($1.91), Vikings +4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 39 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.54. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Vikings at $2.65.
The Falcons are 4-point favourites against the Vikings, with odds of $1.91 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Vikings (+4) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 39 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Vikings (+4) have a 59% chance of covering the line, while the 39-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Falcons vs Vikings: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Minnesota at $2.65 with PointsBet
- Line: Vikings +4 at $1.91 with PointsBet (59% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 39 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
These Falcons vs Vikings best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Vikings to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Falcons vs Vikings: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Vikings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 9 has the Falcons winning 21-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Atlanta vs Minnesota in Week 9, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Falcons vs Vikings: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs Vikings? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Vikings.
Robinson has a 13.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 46.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 13.1% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 7.7% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 6.5% probability
- Van Jefferson: 4.6% probability
- Mack Hollins: 4.5% probability
Vikings First TD Tips
- Alexander Mattison: 8.6% probability
- Jordan Addison: 8.2% probability
- K.J. Osborn: 7.3% probability
- Cam Akers: 6.1% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 46.3% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 29.0% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 25.3% probability
- Van Jefferson: 19.3% probability
- Mack Hollins: 18.3% probability
Vikings Anytime TD Tips
- Jordan Addison: 32.7% probability
- Alexander Mattison: 32.6% probability
- K.J. Osborn: 29.7% probability
- Cam Akers: 24.1% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 18.8% probability
Falcons-Vikings Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Taylor Heinicke is projected for 211 passing yards. The Vikings' Jaren Hall is expected to throw for just 166 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Taylor Heinicke: 211 projected passing yards
Vikings Starting QB
- Jaren Hall: 166 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 69 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 40 projected yards
- Taylor Heinicke: 13 projected yards
Vikings Rushing Yards
- Alexander Mattison: 41 projected yards
- Cam Akers: 27 projected yards
- Jaren Hall: 20 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Kyle Pitts: 41 projected yards
- Van Jefferson: 34 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 28 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 27 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 24 projected yards
Vikings Receiving Yards
- Jordan Addison: 55 projected yards
- T.J. Hockenson: 47 projected yards
- K.J. Osborn: 37 projected yards
- Brandon Powell: 25 projected yards
- Alexander Mattison: 15 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Minnesota game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Falcons vs Vikings: Week 9 Preview
The NFL Week 9 match-up between the Falcons and Vikings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings
- Date: Monday 6 November 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Atlanta vs Minnesota are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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