FIFA World Cup Best Bets for Australia vs Denmark

Last updated: Nov 30, 2022, 1:24PM | Published: Nov 29, 2022, 1:45PM

Australia continues its World Cup 2022 campaign with a result against Denmark seeing them get through to the round of 16 for the first time since 2006.

Using the powerful predictive analytics model here at Stats Insider, we have found the best bets to make on the Socceroos final group game, including a lay bet to take on Betfair.

World Cup Best Bets for Socceroos vs Denmark

After our three bets for Australia vs Tunisia all came off, including Australia to win and Mitchell Duke to score a goal, we're back with betting tips for the Socceroos game against Denmark.

Australia requires at least a draw from this game to advance to the second round of the FIFA World Cup 2022, with our model projecting the Socceroos as a 35.4% chance getting a win or draw.

Coach Graham Arnold is aware of the importance not only of this game, but of his players' mental health at a time like this, imploring them to avoid social media between games.

“That’s why I had the huddle straight after the game,” Arnold said. “Because if there’s one thing I learned at the Olympics [it’s that] after the big win against Argentina it was too much celebration, and that celebration is social media.

“They get on that until 4am or 5am and watch all the great comments and enjoy all that shite, and it affects the sleep patterns. You’re up until 5am looking at good comments, and the same people backing you are the ones killing you the day after. So just get rid of it, don’t look at it.”

Even though Australia's fate is still very much in its own hands, Tunisia is still a chance of taking the second spot in Group D with a win against France. So if you're also looking to avoid too much social media but want to see how the rest of the tournament could play out for Australia and the 31 other teams in Qatar, our World Cup simulator is perfect for you!

TRY IT FREE: World Cup 2022 simulator

Mitchell Duke To Score

After a Mitchell Duke header secured the three points for Australia against Tunisia on Saturday night, the striker is once again the most likely man to score for the Socceroos.

At the time of writing, our model has Duke as an 18.4% chance of scoring anytime, and a 7.1% chance of scoring the first goal of the match.

These probabilities equate to fair odds of $5.43 for an anytime goal and $14.10 for Duke to score first, so keep an eye on the ever-changing market on the Betfair Exchange.

Mitchell Duke to score anytime (18.4% probability)
Mitchell Duke to score first (7.1% probability)

It’s a must win game for the #Socceroos, for which we’ve used data and analytics to determine where the betting value may lie.

Check out the latest version of The Edge for the #FIFAWorldCup, presented by @Betfair_Aus. pic.twitter.com/cj9HfCwNqE
— Stats Insider (@StatsInsider) November 29, 2022

Total goals over 2.5

With Denmark required to win this game to advance to the second round, there's a chance that we see plenty of attacking from the beginning of the game.

Our model currently rates the over/under of 2.5 goals as a 50-50 chance, meaning that any odds of $2.13 or better on either side would produce a 3% edge on the market, which would be a suggested bet.

These numbers are constantly updating due to the lates player news, line movement and more, so make sure you check the latest projections for Australia vs Denmark below.

MORE: Australia vs Denmark World Cup prediction

Where to bet on World Cup?

If you're looking to bet on FIFA World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market across the board throughout the tournament.

All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About World Cup 2022

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 gameand futures odds for every stage of the World Cup 2022.

Want to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.