FIFA World Cup Best Bets for Australia vs France

Australia begins is World Cup 2022 campaign with a match against the defending champions, France, in what is set to be a tough test for the Socceroos.

Using the powerful predictive analytics model here at Stats Insider, we have found the best bets to make on the Socceroos opener.

RELATED: World Cup 2022 Group D prediction

World Cup Best Bets for Socceroos vs France

After failing to get out of the group stage at a FIFA World Cup since 2006, Australia begins its 2022 journey with a game against one of the powerhouse nations of the sport, France.

Although many people like to bet with their heats, here at Stats Insider we bet with the numbers, and the numbers are saying it will be a struggle for the Socceroos to get a win against France.

With a projected win probability of 8%, we're looking elsewhere with our betting tips for this game.

MORE: World Cup 2022 simulator

Australia under 0.5 total goals

After simulating the game 10,000 times, the most likely final score for Australia to finish on is zero, with France's defence set to be too strong for an Aussie attack missing the star power of former World Cup squads.

Coach Graham Arnold recently stated that the team's main goal is to make the round of 16, with a goal difference-saving result against France surely part of that plan.

“What I’m looking at is the last 16. We’ve got to give them a goal and expect to achieve that goal with performances that make the nation proud, and their families proud,” said Arnold.

With a more winnable game against Tunisia to come for Australia, we are forecasting them to sit back and absorb France's attack as they look to keep the game close and launch into Saturday night's second game.

TIP: Socceroos under 0.5 goals ($1.71 at Betfair)

The Edge is back, with data-driven betting tips for the #Socceroos opening #FIFAWorldCupgame against France.

Projections » https://t.co/vxKRGR1Epl

Brought to you by @betfair_aus. pic.twitter.com/kdhLISO3KI

— Stats Insider (@StatsInsider) November 21, 2022

Correct score: France 2-0 Australia

If you're looking for more value on Australia's opening World Cup 2022 game, an expansion of the previous tip could be the bet for you. 

Looking at Stats Insider's correct score predictions for France vs Australia, it's shown that the most likely final score is France winning 2-0, which you can get at $6.60 at Betfair. 

With France now missing Ballon D'or winner Karim Benzema, a reshuffle in attack could mean that they start the game a bit slower than intended, helping the Socceroos keep this one close as they look to gain points in games against Tunisia and Denmark later in the group stage.

TIP: France 2-0 Australia ($6.60 at Betfair)

MORE: Australia vs France World Cup prediction

Our model’s list of most likely #FIFAWorldCup goal scorers for tonight’s action features some big names, including Lionel Messi taking on Saudi Arabia.

Head to https://t.co/JvDmdCwfLE to find the most likely first and anytime goal scorers for every game. pic.twitter.com/qHX2bzkl26

— Stats Insider (@StatsInsider) November 21, 2022

Where to bet on World Cup?

If you're looking to bet on FIFA World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market across the board throughout the tournament.

All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

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