FIFA World Cup Best Bets for France vs Morocco

Dec 13, 2022, 3:02PM

The second semi-final at the FIFA World Cup 2022 between France and Morocco is right around the corner, and we have the best bets and predictions for the big game.

Using the powerful predictive analytics model here at Stats Insider, we have found the best bets to make on the semi-final between France and Morocco, with odds thanks to Betfair.

World Cup Best Bets for France vs Morocco

Our model currently projects France as having a 59.8% chance of winning, with Morocco's win probability at 16.0% and the draw at a 24.4% chance of occurring.

Back: Morocco to qualify

Although just projected as having a 16% chance of winning the game in 90 minutes, Morocco has a 25.9% chance of advancing to the World Cup final.

With Morocco's stout defence having only conceded one goal all tournament (an own goal), it will take a big effort from France to break them down, be it in the 90 minutes or extra time after that.

Morocco's 25.9% probability of qualifying for the final equates to fair odds of $3.86, giving us a 4.8% edge on the $4.70 currently available to back on the Betfair Exchange.

Back: Morocco to quailfy for the final ($4.70)

Lay: Kylian Mbappe to score first

Betting against the current Golden Boot leader may seem crazy, but our model suggests laying Mbappe to score the first goal of the game is the play to take here.

Not only does France have a suite of other attacking options that could score first, but there's also the chance or Morocco getting on the board or the 90 minutes ending at 0-0.

Our fair odds for Mbappe to score first are 14.4%, giving us a lay edge of 5.6% on the $5 currently available on the Betfair Exchange.

Lay: Morocco to quailfy for the final ($4.70)

MORE: France vs Morocco World Cup prediction

Where to bet on World Cup?

If you're looking to bet on FIFA World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market across the board throughout the tournament.

All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About World Cup 2022

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game and futures odds for every stage of the World Cup 2022.

Want to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.

(Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.