FIFA World Cup Best Bets: Round of 16

Last updated: Dec 4, 2022, 2:46PM | Published: Dec 2, 2022, 11:50AM

With the knockout stage in the rearview mirror, we have simulated each of the Round of 16 games at Qatar 2022 10,000 times each.

Using the powerful predictive analytics model here at Stats Insider, we have found the best bets to make on the Socceroos round of 16 game, with back and lay odds thanks to Betfair.

World Cup Best Bet for Netherlands vs USA

Back: Netherlands to win

After topping Group A with two wins and a draw, we are backing the Netherlands to defeat USA in 90 minutes.

Our projections have the Netherlands as a 50.2% chance of winning in 90 minutes, giving us an edge of 2% on the current available Betfair odds of $2.04.

MORE: Netherlands vs USA World Cup prediction

World Cup Best Bet for Australia vs Argentina

Back: Both Teams To Score - Yes

Our best bet for Australia's game against Argentina is for both teams to score. Both Argentina and Australia scored in all three of their group stage games, with both teams even scoring first in each of their games.

Our fair odds for this market are $2.75, giving us a 4% edge on the $3.00 currently available to back on the Betfair Exchange.

Check out our full betting tips for Australia vs Argentina for two more data-led bets that bode well for the Socceroos.

MORE: Australia vs Argentina World Cup prediction

World Cup Best Bet for France vs Poland

Back: Both teams to score - Yes

Although France has looked like one of the best teams in the tournament thus far, they also conceded a goal in each of their three group stage games.

Robert Lewandowski gets another chance to add to his one World Cup goal here, with our model detecting a 4% edge on the both teams to score market.

Our current fair odds for both teams to score are $2.30, whilst you can back it on the Betfair Exchange at $2.56.

MORE: France vs Poland World Cup prediction

World Cup Best Bet for England vs Senegal

Lay: England to win in 90 mins

After two impressive runs at the 2018 FIFA World Cup and Euro 2020, England is looking likely to again advance to at least the Quarter-Finals, with a probability of 75.5% to advance against Senegal.

Although they are more likely to advance overall, the value lies in laying England to win in 90 minutes, with our fair odds of $1.61 meaning you can get a 2% edge laying them at $1.58 on the Betfair Exchange.

MORE: England vs Senegal World Cup prediction

Where to bet on World Cup?

If you're looking to bet on FIFA World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market across the board throughout the tournament.

All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About World Cup 2022

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game and futures odds for every stage of the World Cup 2022.

Want to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.