FIFA World Cup Best Bets: Semi-Finals

Last updated: Dec 13, 2022, 3:04PM | Published: Dec 12, 2022, 11:22PM

The World Cup 2022 semi-finals have arrived, and we have the best betting tips for each game based on our powerful football model.

Using the powerful predictive analytics model here at Stats Insider, we have found the best bets to make on each game of the semi-finals, with back and lay odds thanks to Betfair.

World Cup Best Bet for Argentina vs Croatia

Back: Total goals over 2.5

After successfully tipping Argentina's last game to see goals, our model has again detected an edge on the over 2.5 for the first semi-final in Qatar.

Although the Under is the more likely result according to our model, the Over can once again not be ignored at the back odds available on the Betfair Exchange.

Our fair odds for over 2.5 total goals are $2.41, meaning backers are getting a 3% edge on the $2.60 available.

MORE: Argentina vs Croatia World Cup prediction

World Cup Best Bet for France vs Morocco

Lay: Kylian Mbappe to score first

Betting against the current Golden Boot leader may seem crazy, but our model suggests laying Mbappe to score the first goal of the game is the play to take here.

Not only does France have a suite of other attacking options that could score first, but there's also the chance or Morocco getting on the board or the 90 minutes ending at 0-0.

Our fair odds for Mbappe to score first are 14.4%, giving us a lay edge of 5.6% on the $5.00 currently available on the Betfair Exchange.

MORE: France vs Morocco World Cup prediction

Where to bet on World Cup?

If you're looking to bet on FIFA World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market across the board throughout the tournament.

All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About World Cup 2022

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game and futures odds for every stage of the World Cup 2022.

Want to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.