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Flames vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Tips - 17 December 2023

The Calgary Flames will play the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Scotiabank Saddledome on Sunday, starting at 2:00pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Flames vs Lightning game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Flames vs Lightning

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Calgary-Tampa Bay NHL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 51% chance of beating the Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome.

More: Flames vs Lightning Match Centre

Flames vs Lightning: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Flames $2.02, Lightning $1.94
  • Line: Flames +1.5 ($1.41), Lightning -1.5 ($3.32)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.98, Under $1.95

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Flames at $2.02 and the Lightning at $1.94.

The Flames are listed as 1.5-goal underdogs against the Lightning, with odds of $1.41 currently on offer at bet365.

For the favourite Lightning (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $3.32.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.95.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Flames vs Lightning: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Calgary at $2.02 with Betfair
  • Line: Lightning -1.5 at $3.32 with Betfair
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (53% probability)

Stats Insider's Flames vs Lightning best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

And while the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Flames to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Although the Flames are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Flames vs Lightning: Prediction

For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Calgary vs Tampa Bay on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Flames vs Lightning: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Flames vs Lightning? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Flames vs Lightning.

Point has a 7.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the Lightning star has a 37.3% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Flames First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Elias Lindholm: 6.0% probability
  • Yegor Sharangovich: 5.8% probability
  • Nazem Kadri: 4.9% probability
  • Blake Coleman: 4.4% probability
  • Jonathan Huberdeau: 4.3% probability

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 7.7% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 7.7% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 7.0% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 4.6% probability
  • Nick Paul: 3.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Flames Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Elias Lindholm: 31.2% probability
  • Yegor Sharangovich: 30.9% probability
  • Nazem Kadri: 25.6% probability
  • Blake Coleman: 22.8% probability
  • Jonathan Huberdeau: 22.0% probability

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 37.3% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 37.1% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 35.4% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 27.0% probability
  • Nick Paul: 21.2% probability

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Calgary vs Tampa Bay game at Scotiabank Saddledome.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Flames vs Lightning: Preview

The match-up between the Flames and Lightning at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to commence at 2:00pm AEDT on Sunday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Calgary vs Tampa Bay predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NHL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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