Fremantle vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2024
Last updated: Apr 6, 2024, 4:03AM | Published: Apr 1, 2024, 11:34PM
Fremantle will take on Carlton in AFL Round 4 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 4:20pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Fremantle vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Fremantle vs Carlton
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Fremantle-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 61% chance of defeating the Dockers at Adelaide Oval.
More: Fremantle vs Carlton Match Centre
Fremantle vs Carlton: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $2.54, Carlton $1.63
- Line: Fremantle +8.5 ($2.02), Carlton -8.5 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Fremantle at $2.54 and Carlton at $1.63.
The Dockers are 8.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $2.02 currently on offer at TAB.
For the favourite Blues (-8.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.96.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dockers (+8.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 164.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Fremantle vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $2.54 with
- Line: Fremantle +8.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 164.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (50% probability)
These Fremantle vs Carlton best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dockers to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Looking for further insight on Round 4 AFL action? Matt from Champion Bets has put his knowledge and background as a data scientist to work, finding markets that are easier to win money on.
He then uses this knowledge to provide you with the best bets of every AFL round straight to you.
Click here and use promo code STATS to get 20% off your AFL Champion Bets subscription.
Fremantle vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Saturday has Carlton winning 86-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Fremantle vs Carlton on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.
Fremantle vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Searching for Fremantle vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Carlton.
Curnow has an 8.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Blues star has a 91.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 6.2% probability
- Matt Taberner: 6.0% probability
- Michael Walters: 5.2% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.0% probability
- Luke Jackson: 3.1% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 8.3% probability
- Harry McKay: 7.1% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 5.1% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.1% probability
- Corey Durdin: 2.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 83.6% probability
- Matt Taberner: 82.4% probability
- Michael Walters: 76.4% probability
- Michael Frederick: 68.6% probability
- Josh Treacy: 57.3% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 91.6% probability
- Harry McKay: 88.7% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 76.0% probability
- Matthew Owies: 68.7% probability
- Corey Durdin: 54.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Fremantle vs Carlton game at Adelaide Oval.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Fremantle vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Dockers and Blues at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 4:20pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Fremantle vs Carlton predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
