Fremantle vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2024

Last updated: Aug 10, 2024, 6:01AM | Published: Aug 4, 2024, 1:33PM

Fremantle will take on Geelong in AFL Round 22 action at Optus Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:35pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Fremantle vs Geelong game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Fremantle vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 55% chance of defeating the Cats in Round 22 of the 2024 AFL season.

Fremantle vs Geelong: Odds

The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed below:

Head to Head: Fremantle $1.63, Geelong $2.56
Line: Fremantle -10.5 ($2.04), Geelong +10.5 ($1.94)
Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $2.02

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Fremantle at $1.63 and Geelong at $2.56.

The Dockers are 10.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $2.04 available at Betfair.

For the underdog Cats (+10.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $1.94.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 169.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.94 for the over and $2.02 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 169.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 61% of the time.

Fremantle vs Geelong: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Geelong at $2.56 with Betfair (5.6% edge) 🔥
Line: Geelong +10.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (59% probability) 🔥
Total Points: Under 169.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (61% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.

These Fremantle vs Geelong predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our preferred option due to the 5.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Fremantle vs Geelong: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Geelong at Optus Stadium this Saturday is Fremantle winning 84-80.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Fremantle vs Geelong match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Fremantle vs Geelong: Goal Kickers

Are you looking for Fremantle vs Geelong goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Jye Amiss is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Geelong.

Amiss has an 8.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Dockers star has a 90.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Fremantle

Jye Amiss: 8.0% probability
Sam Sturt: 6.2% probability
Michael Frederick: 5.7% probability
Luke Jackson: 4.0% probability
Bailey Banfield: 3.8% probability

Geelong

Jeremy Cameron: 5.9% probability
Tyson Stengle: 5.2% probability
Oliver Henry: 4.2% probability
Shannon Neale: 3.9% probability
Shaun Mannagh: 3.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Fremantle

Jye Amiss: 90.2% probability
Sam Sturt: 82.8% probability
Michael Frederick: 80.7% probability
Bailey Banfield: 66.7% probability
Luke Jackson: 65.6% probability

Geelong

Jeremy Cameron: 83.0% probability
Tyson Stengle: 74.7% probability
Oliver Henry: 70.1% probability
Shannon Neale: 67.7% probability
Shaun Mannagh: 61.3% probability

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Fremantle vs Geelong match.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Fremantle vs Geelong: Essential Details

The AFL Round 22 clash between the Dockers and Cats at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Fremantle vs Geelong
Date: Saturday 10 August 2024
Time: 4:35pm AEST
Venue: Optus Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Fremantle vs Geelong predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.