Geelong vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2024
Last updated: Aug 3, 2024, 6:34AM | Published: Jul 28, 2024, 11:33AM
Geelong will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 21 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Geelong vs Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 74% chance of winning against the Crows in Round 21 of the 2024 AFL season.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.43, Adelaide $3.25
- Line: Geelong -18.5 ($2.02), Adelaide +18.5 ($1.97)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $2.04
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.43 and Adelaide at $3.25.
The Cats are 18.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $2.02 available at Betfair.
For the underdog Crows (+18.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $1.97.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.93 for the over and $2.04 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Crows (+18.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 58% of the time.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.43 with Betfair (74% probability)
- Line: Adelaide +18.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.
These Geelong vs Adelaide predictions are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Adelaide at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday is Geelong winning 91-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Geelong vs Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Geelong vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Adelaide.
Walker has a 7.5% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Crows star has an 89.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 7.2% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 6.8% probability
- Shannon Neale: 5.0% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.6% probability
- Brad Close: 3.7% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 7.5% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 6.5% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.5% probability
- Josh Rachele: 4.4% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 87.2% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 85.1% probability
- Shannon Neale: 74.2% probability
- Oliver Henry: 72.7% probability
- Brad Close: 67.0% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 89.9% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 83.6% probability
- Josh Rachele: 69.5% probability
- Ben Keays: 68.6% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 57.7% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Geelong vs Adelaide game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Cats and Crows at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Geelong vs Adelaide predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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