Geelong vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Preliminary Final 2024

Geelong will sqaure off with Brisbane in AFL Preliminary Final action at the the MCG on Saturday, starting at 5:15pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 62% chance of defeating the Lions at the the MCG.

Geelong vs Brisbane: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the the MCG are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Geelong $1.80, Brisbane $2.05
  • Line: Geelong -3.5 ($1.91), Brisbane +3.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.80 and Brisbane at $2.05.

The Cats are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Lions (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 171.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 58% of the time.

Geelong vs Brisbane: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Geelong at $1.80 with Bet365
  • Line: Geelong -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.

Our Geelong vs Brisbane betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Geelong vs Brisbane: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Brisbane at the the MCG this Saturday is Geelong winning 87-79.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Geelong vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.

Geelong vs Brisbane: Goal Kickers

Searching for Geelong vs Brisbane goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Brisbane.

Cameron has a 7.9% chance of kicking the first goal at the the MCG, while the Cats star has an 88.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Geelong

  • Jeremy Cameron: 7.9% probability
  • Tyson Stengle: 5.6% probability
  • Oliver Henry: 5.5% probability
  • Shannon Neale: 4.8% probability
  • Shaun Mannagh: 3.8% probability

Brisbane

  • Charlie Cameron: 6.0% probability
  • Joe Daniher: 5.5% probability
  • Kai Lohmann: 4.9% probability
  • Eric Hipwood: 4.2% probability
  • Cam Rayner: 3.5% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Geelong

  • Jeremy Cameron: 88.3% probability
  • Tyson Stengle: 79.4% probability
  • Oliver Henry: 78.5% probability
  • Shannon Neale: 72.9% probability
  • Shaun Mannagh: 68.1% probability

Brisbane

  • Joe Daniher: 80.9% probability
  • Charlie Cameron: 80.6% probability
  • Eric Hipwood: 73.1% probability
  • Kai Lohmann: 72.6% probability
  • Cam Rayner: 62.7% probability

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Geelong vs Brisbane game.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Geelong vs Brisbane: Essential Details

The AFL Preliminary Final clash between the Cats and Lions at the the MCG is scheduled to commence at 5:15pm AEST on Saturday.

  • Teams: Geelong vs Brisbane
  • Date: Saturday 21 September 2024
  • Time: 5:15pm AEST
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Geelong vs Brisbane predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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