Geelong vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2024
Last updated: Apr 27, 2024, 6:34AM | Published: Apr 21, 2024, 11:51PM
Geelong will sqaure off with Carlton in AFL Round 7 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Geelong vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Geelong vs Carlton
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 58% chance of defeating the Blues in Round 7 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Geelong vs Carlton Match Centre
Geelong vs Carlton: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.78, Carlton $2.26
- Line: Geelong -4.5 ($2.04), Carlton +4.5 ($1.92)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $2.02, Under $1.90
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.78 and Carlton at $2.26.
The Cats are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $2.04 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Blues (+4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.92.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 171.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.02 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 171.5 points has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Geelong vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.78 with Betfair (58% probability)
- Line: Geelong -4.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (54% probability)
Stats Insider's Geelong vs Carlton betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
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Geelong vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Geelong winning 87-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Geelong vs Carlton on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Geelong vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Looking for Geelong vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Harry McKay is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Carlton.
McKay has a 7.5% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has an 89.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 7.2% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 6.9% probability
- Oliver Henry: 5.1% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 4.3% probability
- Brad Close: 3.4% probability
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 7.5% probability
- Charlie Curnow: 7.2% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.5% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 3.9% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 88.4% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 87.8% probability
- Oliver Henry: 77.1% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 76.2% probability
- Brad Close: 60.4% probability
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 89.6% probability
- Charlie Curnow: 89.2% probability
- Matthew Owies: 74.7% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 69.6% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 58.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Carlton match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Geelong vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Cats and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Geelong vs Carlton
- Date: Saturday 27 April 2024
- Time: 4:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Geelong vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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