Geelong vs Collingwood Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 1, 2023
Mar 16, 2023, 1:06AM
Geelong squares off with Collingwood in AFL Round 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, commencing at 7:40pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Geelong vs Collingwood, as well as the latest betting odds, are detailed below.
Who will win? Geelong vs Collingwood
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Geelong-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 57% chance of winning against the Magpies in Round 1 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Geelong vs Collingwood Simulated 10,000 Times
Geelong vs Collingwood Best Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.62, Collingwood $2.58
- Line: Geelong -13.5 ($2.20), Collingwood +13.5 ($1.81)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.60
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong to win at $1.62 and Collingwood to win at $2.58.
The Cats are 13.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $2.20 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Magpies (+13.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.81.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 169.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.60.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (+13.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the 169.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Match
Geelong vs Collingwood Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Magpies at $2.58 with Betfair (3.8% edge)
- Line: Collingwood +13.5 at $1.81 with Betfair (61% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 169.5 at $2.00 with Betfair
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Our Cats vs Magpies betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our recommended option because of the 3.8% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the Betfair odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 169.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.00) that are available from Betfair.
Geelong vs Collingwood AFL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cats vs Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Friday has the Cats winning 86-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Geelong vs Collingwood on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs Collingwood game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Geelong vs Collingwood AFL 2023
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Cats and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEDT on Friday.
- Game: Geelong vs Collingwood
- Date: Friday 17 March 2023
- Time: 7:40pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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