Geelong vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2024
Last updated: Jun 29, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: Jun 23, 2024, 11:58PM
Geelong will take on Essendon in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Geelong vs Essendon game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Geelong vs Essendon
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 52% chance of defeating the Cats in Round 16 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Geelong vs Essendon Match Centre
Geelong vs Essendon: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $2.50, Essendon $1.65
- Line: Geelong +6.5 ($2.06), Essendon -6.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.97, Under $1.89
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $2.50 and Essendon at $1.65.
The Cats are listed as 6.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $2.06 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bombers (-6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.90.
The over/under for Geelong vs Essendon sits at 164.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.97 and odds for the under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (+6.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Geelong vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $2.50 with Betfair (8.1% edge) 🔥
- Line: Geelong +6.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (57% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Geelong vs Essendon predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bombers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our preferred option because of the 8.1% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Geelong vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Essendon winning 81-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Geelong vs Essendon on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Geelong vs Essendon: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Geelong vs Essendon goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Jake Stringer is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Essendon.
Stringer has a 7.0% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Bombers star has an 86.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 6.9% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.3% probability
- Gary Rohan: 3.8% probability
- Shannon Neale: 3.7% probability
- Brad Close: 3.2% probability
Essendon
- Jake Stringer: 7.0% probability
- Kyle Langford: 6.4% probability
- Peter Wright: 5.2% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 4.2% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 86.1% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 79.2% probability
- Shannon Neale: 66.6% probability
- Gary Rohan: 65.4% probability
- Brad Close: 58.2% probability
Essendon
- Jake Stringer: 86.5% probability
- Kyle Langford: 84.9% probability
- Peter Wright: 81.2% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 69.5% probability
- Jade Gresham: 61.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Essendon game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Geelong vs Essendon: Preview
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Cats and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Geelong vs Essendon
- Date: Saturday 29 June 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Geelong vs Essendon predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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