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Geelong vs GWS: Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2023

Geelong plays GWS in AFL Round 11 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:35pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Geelong vs GWS, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.

More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 11, 2023

Who Will Win: Geelong vs GWS

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Geelong-GWS AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 91% chance of defeating the Giants in Round 11 of the 2023 AFL season.

More: Geelong vs GWS Simulated 10,000 Times

Geelong vs GWS: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Geelong $1.10, GWS $10.50
  • Line: Geelong -41.5 ($1.95), GWS +41.5 ($2.02)
  • Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $1.98

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong to win at $1.10 and GWS to win at $10.50.

The Cats are 41.5-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $1.95 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Giants (+41.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.02.

The Over/Under for Geelong vs GWS is set at 175.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.94 and odds for the Under at $1.98.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Giants (+41.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 175.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Match

Geelong vs GWS: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Geelong at $1.10 with Betfair (91% probability)
  • Line: GWS +41.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.

Our Geelong vs GWS predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

Geelong vs GWS: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs GWS at GMHBA Stadium this Saturday has Geelong winning 104-67.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Geelong vs GWS on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Geelong vs GWS: Goal Scorers

Looking for Geelong vs GWS goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Tom Hawkins is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs GWS.

Hawkins has a 9.9% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has a 94.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Geelong

  • Tom Hawkins: 9.9% probability
  • Jeremy Cameron: 9.6% probability
  • Tyson Stengle: 7.0% probability
  • Oliver Henry: 5.1% probability
  • Brad Close: 4.8% probability

GWS

  • Toby Greene: 5.6% probability
  • Jesse Hogan: 4.8% probability
  • Jake Riccardi: 3.3% probability
  • Xavier O'Halloran: 3.1% probability
  • Aaron Cadman: 2.9% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Geelong

  • Tom Hawkins: 94.6% probability
  • Jeremy Cameron: 94.5% probability
  • Tyson Stengle: 87.8% probability
  • Oliver Henry: 78.7% probability
  • Brad Close: 75.6% probability

GWS

  • Toby Greene: 83.7% probability
  • Jesse Hogan: 76.5% probability
  • Jake Riccardi: 62.2% probability
  • Aaron Cadman: 55.3% probability
  • Xavier O'Halloran: 54.5% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs GWS match at GMHBA Stadium.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2023

Geelong vs GWS: Preview

The AFL Round 11 clash between the Cats and Giants at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.

  • Game: Geelong vs GWS
  • Date: Saturday 27 May 2023
  • Time: 4:35pm AEST
  • Venue: GMHBA Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Geelong vs GWS have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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