Geelong vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2024

Last updated: May 25, 2024, 6:32AM | Published: May 20, 2024, 9:00AM

Geelong will face GWS in AFL Round 11 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:35pm AEST.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Geelong vs GWS game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Geelong vs GWS

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Geelong-GWS AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 62% chance of beating the Giants at GMHBA Stadium.

More: Geelong vs GWS Match Centre

Geelong vs GWS: Odds

The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are shown below:

Head to Head: Geelong $1.51, GWS $2.92
Line: Geelong -14.5 ($1.95), GWS +14.5 ($1.98)
Total (Over/Under 179.5 Points): Over $2.14, Under $1.84

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.51 and GWS at $2.92.

The Cats are 14.5-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Giants (+14.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 179.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.14 and odds for the Under at $1.84.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Giants (+14.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 179.5 points has a 54% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Geelong vs GWS: Betting Tips

Head to Head: GWS at $2.92 with Betfair (3.7% edge)
Line: GWS +14.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
Total Points: Under 179.5 at $1.84 with Betfair (54% probability)

If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips of the day across all sports.

Stats Insider's Geelong vs GWS predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Giants to win is our preferred option because of the 3.7% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Geelong vs GWS: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs GWS at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday has Geelong winning 92-84.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Geelong vs GWS on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Geelong vs GWS: Goal Scorers

Are you looking for Geelong vs GWS goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, GWS' Toby Greene is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs GWS.

Greene has a 7.9% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Giants star has a 92.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Geelong

Jeremy Cameron: 7.5% probability
Tom Hawkins: 6.2% probability
Tyson Stengle: 5.7% probability
Oliver Henry: 5.1% probability
Brad Close: 3.6% probability

GWS

Toby Greene: 7.9% probability
Jesse Hogan: 6.1% probability
Jake Riccardi: 3.9% probability
Brent Daniels: 3.9% probability
Aaron Cadman: 3.7% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Geelong

Jeremy Cameron: 91.7% probability
Tom Hawkins: 87.0% probability
Tyson Stengle: 83.7% probability
Oliver Henry: 80.5% probability
Brad Close: 68.4% probability

GWS

Toby Greene: 92.0% probability
Jesse Hogan: 87.8% probability
Jake Riccardi: 72.1% probability
Aaron Cadman: 67.8% probability
Brent Daniels: 66.7% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs GWS match at GMHBA Stadium.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Geelong vs GWS: Preview

The AFL Round 11 clash between the Cats and Giants at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Geelong vs GWS
Date: Saturday 25 May 2024
Time: 4:35pm AEST
Venue: GMHBA Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our Geelong vs GWS predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.