Geelong vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jul 6, 2024, 6:33AM | Published: Jun 30, 2024, 11:11PM
Geelong will sqaure off with Hawthorn in AFL Round 17 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Geelong vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Geelong vs Hawthorn
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 67% chance of winning against the Hawks at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Hawthorn: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.71, Hawthorn $2.38
- Line: Geelong -10.5 ($2.10), Hawthorn +10.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $2.16, Under $1.84
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.71 and Hawthorn at $2.38.
The Cats are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $2.10 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Hawks (+10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.90.
The over/under for total points scored has been set at 169.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.16 and odds for the under at $1.84.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (-10.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 169.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Geelong vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.71 with Betfair (67% probability) 🔥
- Line: Geelong -10.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 169.5 at $2.16 with Betfair (1.3% edge)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Geelong vs Hawthorn betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 169.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.16) that are available from Betfair.
Geelong vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Hawthorn at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday has Geelong prevailing 89-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Geelong vs Hawthorn on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Geelong vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Geelong vs Hawthorn goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Hawthorn.
Cameron has a 6.6% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has an 87.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 6.6% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.6% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.4% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 3.9% probability
- Gary Rohan: 3.6% probability
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 4.9% probability
- Luke Breust: 4.8% probability
- Nick Watson: 4.2% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.0% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 87.9% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 80.1% probability
- Oliver Henry: 74.3% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 68.8% probability
- Gary Rohan: 64.3% probability
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 78.1% probability
- Luke Breust: 77.3% probability
- Mabior Chol: 70.2% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 68.6% probability
- Jack Gunston: 68.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs Hawthorn match at GMHBA Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Geelong vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Cats and Hawks at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Geelong vs Hawthorn predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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