Geelong vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2025
Mar 30, 2025, 10:15PM
Geelong will sqaure off with Melbourne in AFL Round 4 action at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Geelong vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats an 85% chance of defeating the Demons at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Melbourne: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.21, Melbourne $4.50
- Line: Geelong -27.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +27.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.21 and Melbourne at $4.50.
The Cats are 27.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+27.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 173.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (-27.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 173.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Geelong vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.21 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong -27.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 173.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Geelong vs Melbourne predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Geelong vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Melbourne at GMHBA Stadium this Friday is Geelong winning 102-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Geelong vs Melbourne match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Geelong vs Melbourne game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Cats and Demons at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEDT on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Melbourne predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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