Geelong vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2025
Mar 30, 2025, 10:15PM
Geelong will sqaure off with Melbourne in AFL Round 4 action at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, commencing at 7:40pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Melbourne game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Geelong vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats an 87% chance of beating the Demons in Round 4 of the 2025 AFL season.
Geelong vs Melbourne: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.22, Melbourne $4.50
- Line: Geelong -28.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +28.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.22 and Melbourne at $4.50.
The Cats are listed as 28.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+28.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (-28.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 171.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Geelong vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.22 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong -28.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Geelong vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Melbourne at GMHBA Stadium on Friday is Geelong winning 100-69.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Geelong vs Melbourne match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs Melbourne game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Cats and Demons at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEDT on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Melbourne predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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