Geelong vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2024
Last updated: Jun 1, 2024, 9:01AM | Published: May 26, 2024, 1:36PM
Geelong will face Richmond in AFL Round 12 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Geelong vs Richmond game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Geelong vs Richmond
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong-Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 95% chance of beating the Tigers at GMHBA Stadium.
More: Geelong vs Richmond Simulated 10,000 Times
Geelong vs Richmond: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.07, Richmond $14.00
- Line: Geelong -48.5 ($2.00), Richmond +48.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.97, Under $1.94
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.07 and Richmond at $14.00.
The Cats are 48.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Tigers (+48.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.95.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.97 and odds for the under at $1.94.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+48.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 171.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Match
Geelong vs Richmond: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.07 with Betfair (95% probability)
- Line: Richmond +48.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (52% probability)
These Geelong vs Richmond best bets are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Geelong vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Richmond at GMHBA Stadium this Saturday has Geelong prevailing 108-62.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Geelong vs Richmond on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Geelong vs Richmond: Goal Scorers
Searching for Geelong vs Richmond goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Richmond.
Cameron has an 8.9% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has a 93.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 8.9% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 7.7% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 6.6% probability
- Oliver Henry: 5.9% probability
- Gary Rohan: 5.0% probability
Richmond
- Dustin Martin: 4.7% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 4.5% probability
- Samson Ryan: 2.6% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 2.5% probability
- Liam Baker: 2.5% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 93.2% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 89.0% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 85.9% probability
- Oliver Henry: 82.9% probability
- Gary Rohan: 76.4% probability
Richmond
- Noah Cumberland: 74.7% probability
- Dustin Martin: 74.6% probability
- Liam Baker: 55.2% probability
- Samson Ryan: 54.1% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 47.0% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Geelong vs Richmond match at GMHBA Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Geelong vs Richmond: Preview
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Cats and Tigers at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Geelong vs Richmond predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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