Geelong vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 1, 2024
Last updated: Mar 16, 2024, 8:03AM | Published: Mar 10, 2024, 11:00PM
Geelong will sqaure off with St Kilda in AFL Round 1 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:30pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Geelong vs St Kilda game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Geelong vs St Kilda
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Geelong-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 72% chance of defeating the Saints at GMHBA Stadium.
More: Geelong vs St Kilda Simulated 10,000 Times
Geelong vs St Kilda: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.46, St Kilda $3.15
- Line: Geelong -14.5 ($1.84), St Kilda +14.5 ($2.12)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $2.06
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Geelong at $1.46 and St Kilda at $3.15.
The Cats are listed as 14.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.84 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Saints (+14.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.12.
The Over/Under for Geelong vs St Kilda sits at 160.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.93 and odds for the Under at $2.06.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (-14.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 160.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Geelong vs St Kilda: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.46 with (72% probability)
- Line: St Kilda +14.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (1.9% edge)
- Total Points: Over 160.5 at $1.93 with Betfair (52% probability)
Our Geelong vs St Kilda best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Cats are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Saints +14.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Looking for further insight on Round 1 AFL action? Matt from Champion Bets has put his knowledge and background as a data scientist to work, finding markets that are easier to win money on.
He then uses this knowledge to provide you with the best bets of every AFL round straight to you.
Click here and use promo code STATS to get 20% off your AFL Champion Bets subscription.
Geelong vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs St Kilda at GMHBA Stadium this Saturday has Geelong winning 88-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Geelong vs St Kilda on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Geelong vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers
Looking for Geelong vs St Kilda goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs St Kilda.
Cameron has an 8.6% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has a 90.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 8.6% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 7.1% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.5% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.6% probability
- Brad Close: 3.4% probability
St Kilda
- Max King: 6.5% probability
- Tim Membrey: 5.8% probability
- Jack Higgins: 5.0% probability
- Mitch Owens: 3.2% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 90.7% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 87.1% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 77.1% probability
- Oliver Henry: 74.2% probability
- Brad Close: 59.7% probability
St Kilda
- Max King: 85.1% probability
- Tim Membrey: 79.9% probability
- Jack Higgins: 74.3% probability
- Mitch Owens: 58.3% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 54.5% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Geelong vs St Kilda match at GMHBA Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Geelong vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Cats and Saints at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Geelong vs St Kilda predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
