Geelong vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 24, 2023
Last updated: Aug 26, 2023, 9:03AM | Published: Aug 20, 2023, 2:03PM
Geelong plays the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 24 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:25pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Geelong vs Western Bulldogs, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 24, 2023
Who Will Win: Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Geelong-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs a 61% chance of defeating the Cats at GMHBA Stadium.
More: Geelong vs Western Bulldogs Match Centre
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $2.60, Bulldogs $1.61
- Line: Geelong +11.5 ($2.00), Bulldogs -11.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $2.12, Under $1.84
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $2.60 and the Bulldogs at $1.61.
The Cats are listed as 11.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-11.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 164.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.12 and odds for the Under at $1.84.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 164.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $2.60 with Betfair (0.9% edge)
- Line: Geelong +11.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 164.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (2.1% edge)
Every time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.
These Geelong vs Western Bulldogs best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bulldogs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 164.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.12) that are available from Betfair.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 24
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Western Bulldogs at GMHBA Stadium this Saturday has the Bulldogs winning 85-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Geelong vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Geelong vs Bulldogs: Goal Kickers
Looking for Geelong vs Bulldogs goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Aaron Naughton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Western.
Naughton has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has an 87.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Tyson Stengle: 6.4% probability
- Oliver Henry: 6.4% probability
- Sam Menegola: 4.6% probability
- Gryan Miers: 3.6% probability
- Patrick Dangerfield: 3.5% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 7.2% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 6.3% probability
- Rory Lobb: 5.7% probability
- Cody Weightman: 5.1% probability
- Rhylee West: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Tyson Stengle: 84.8% probability
- Oliver Henry: 84.8% probability
- Sam Menegola: 71.3% probability
- Patrick Dangerfield: 64.5% probability
- Gryan Miers: 62.3% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 87.5% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 84.9% probability
- Rory Lobb: 80.3% probability
- Cody Weightman: 74.6% probability
- Rhylee West: 67.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Bulldogs game at GMHBA Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 24 clash between the Cats and Bulldogs at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:25pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Saturday 26 August 2023
- Time: 7:25pm AEST
- Venue: GMHBA Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Geelong vs Bulldogs are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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