Germany vs Japan World Cup 2022 Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
Last updated: Nov 19, 2022, 3:19PM | Published: Nov 19, 2022, 3:19PM
Germany squares off with Japan in Group E of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Khalifa International Stadium in Qatar on Thursday, starting at 12:00am AEDT.
The FIFA World Cup is widely known as the most prestigious soccer tournament in the world, and Germany and Japan are among the 32 teams present in Qatar this year.
Group E at the World Cup 2022 features Spain, Costa Rica, Germany, and Japan. The top two nations from each group go through to the knockout phase.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Germany vs Japan, plus the latest betting odds via Betfair, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Germany vs Japan
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Germany-Japan World Cup 2022 match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives Germany a 66.3% chance of winning, Japan a 14.2% chance of winning, and the draw a 19.5% chance of happening.
More: Free Betting Guide for Germany vs Japan
Germany vs Japan Best Odds
- Result: Germany $1.49, Japan $7.60, Draw $4.90
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over $1.64, Under $2.54
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Betfair currently has Germany's odds to win at $1.49, with Japan's odds to win at $7.60, and odds for the draw at $4.90 if you think the game will be all square after 90 minutes.
For Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Japan vs Germany game, Betfair currently has odds for the Over at $1.64 and the Under at $2.54.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Over/Under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going Over.
Germany vs Japan Betting Tips
- Result: Japan at $7.60 with Betfair (1.1% edge)
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 at $2.54 with Betfair (2.9% edge)
Stats Insider's predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
Betting on Japan to win is our recommended option due to the 1.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the best odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 2.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.54) that are available from Betfair.
For the best value throughout the World Cup 2022, we recommend betting with Betfair.
Germany vs Japan Best Bets
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Japan vs Germany at the Qatar World Cup, including pre-match predictions, prop betting tips, and live updates.
Japan vs Germany Goalscorers
Who will score a goal in Japan vs Germany? The data is in.
The most likely first goal scorer and most likely anytime goal scorers for both Japan and Germany are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Serge Gnabry is the most likely player to score the first goal in Japan vs Germany.
Gnabry has a 15.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Khalifa International Stadium, while the Germany star has a 37.5% chance of registering an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Japan
- Takumi Minamino: 6.5% probability
- Kaoru Mitoma: 6.4% probability
- Daichi Kamada: 3.2% probability
- Ritsu Dōan: 2.4% probability
- Ao Tanaka: 1.5% probability
Germany
- Serge Gnabry: 15.3% probability
- Thomas Müller: 12.6% probability
- Kai Havertz: 11.4% probability
- Leon Goretzka: 6.5% probability
- Jamal Musiala: 6.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Japan
- Kaoru Mitoma: 17.7% probability
- Takumi Minamino: 17.4% probability
- Daichi Kamada: 9.8% probability
- Ritsu Dōan: 6.2% probability
- Ao Tanaka: 4.9% probability
Germany
- Serge Gnabry: 37.5% probability
- Thomas Müller: 31.4% probability
- Kai Havertz: 30.0% probability
- Leon Goretzka: 18.1% probability
- Jamal Musiala: 17.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Japan vs Germany game at Khalifa International Stadium.
As always, check out our Value Summary for the best tips for every World Cup 2022 game, plus a host of other sports that Stats Insider offers predictions on.
How to Watch Germany vs Japan World Cup 2022 in Australia
Thursday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Germany and Japan at Khalifa International Stadium in Qatar is scheduled to start at 12:00am AEDT on Thursday.
- Game: Germany vs Japan
- Date: Thursday 24 November 2022
- Time: 12:00am AEDT
- Channel: Live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand
All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
More About World Cup 2022
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, tips for every World Cup 2022 game and futures probabilities for every stage of the World Cup 2022.
Ready to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022 now? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.
