Germany World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets
Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:43PM | Published: Nov 10, 2022, 2:45PMStats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Germany can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.
Portugal has been drawn in Group E of the World Cup 2022, with games against Spain, Japan and Costa Rica determining whether they will make the knockout stage.
Germany FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)
- Germany vs Japan: 24 November, 12:00AM
- Germany vs Spain: 28 November, 6:00AM
- Germany vs Costa Rica: 2 December, 6:00AM
Fresh off of winning the World Cup in 2014, Germany suffered a stunning group stage exit in 2018. Germany had finished third place or better in seven of its previous nine World Cups prior to that meltdown.
Germany World Cup Predictions
Stats Insider's model gives Germany a 78.9% chance of avoiding another group stage elimination in 2022 along with a 40.4% chance of winning Group E.
RUN YOUR OWN: FIFA World Cup 2022 Simulator
Germany’s Odds for World Cup 2022
Germany has a 47.5% chance of making it to the quarterfinals, a 25.1% chance of getting to the semifinals and a 7.2% chance of winning the 2022 World Cup. Germany advanced to at least the quarterfinals every year from 1982 to 2014.
Germany's most likely opponent in the round of 16 is Belgium at 37.4%, and Brazil could be next at 32.6% to be Germany's quarterfinals opponent.
Stage of World Cup 2022 | Stats Insider Probability | Best Betfair odds |
Overall winner | 7.2% | $12.50 |
Make the final | 14.4% | $5.50 |
Make the semi final | 25.1% | $3.25 |
Make the quarter final | 47.5% | $1.78 |
Make the round of 16 | 78.9% | $1.15 |
Win Group E | 40.4% | $2.14 |
Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.
Germany World Cup 2022 Best Bets
Germany begins its 2022 World Cup campaign against Japan, with the Stats Insider model projecting the 2014 champions as a 69.8% chance of starting with three points. This win probability means that odds of $1.44 or above would be value according to our model.
MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview
Betting Tips For Germany
For Germany's opening game against Japan, the best value bet to make right now is on the 'both teams to score' market with Betfair.
Our model's probability for the 'no' option on this bet is currently rated as a 53% chance of hitting, whilst the odds of $2.00 at Betfair equate to an implied probability of just 50%.
With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Germany vs Japan, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
RELATED: Germany vs Japan Prediction
More World Cup Team Previews
- Argentina World Cup 2022 Preview
- Australia World Cup 2022 Preview
- Belgium World Cup 2022 Preview
- Brazil World Cup 2022 Preview
- Croatia World Cup 2022 Preview
- Denmark World Cup Preview
- England World Cup 2022 Preview
- France World Cup 2022 Preview
- Netherlands World Cup 2022 Preview
- Portugal World Cup 2022 Preview
- Spain World Cup 2022 Preview
- Tunisia World Cup 2022 Preview
- United States World Cup 2022 Preview
- Uruguay World Cup 2022 Preview
More about World Cup 2022
Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.