Gold Coast vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 1, 2024
Last updated: Mar 16, 2024, 8:33AM | Published: Mar 10, 2024, 11:00PM
Gold Coast will face Adelaide in AFL Round 1 action at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, starting at 8:10pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Gold Coast vs Adelaide game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Gold Coast vs Adelaide
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Gold Coast-Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model is currently unable to split the two teams, giving both Gold Coast and Adelaide an equal 50% chance of winning in Round 1 of the AFL season.
More: Gold Coast vs Adelaide Match Centre
Gold Coast vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Metricon Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $1.67, Adelaide $2.46
- Line: Gold Coast -7.5 ($2.00), Adelaide +7.5 ($1.94)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $2.20, Under $1.75
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Gold Coast at $1.67 and Adelaide at $2.46.
The Suns are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Crows (+7.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.94.
The Over/Under for Gold Coast vs Adelaide sits at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.20 and odds for the Under at $1.75.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (+7.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the 168.5-point Over/Under has a 60% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Gold Coast vs Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $2.46 with (50% probability) 🔥
- Line: Adelaide +7.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (61% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.75 with Betfair (60% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Gold Coast vs Adelaide best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
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Gold Coast vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Adelaide at Metricon Stadium on Saturday has Adelaide winning 82-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Gold Coast vs Adelaide on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Gold Coast vs Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Searching for Gold Coast vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Darcy Fogarty is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Adelaide.
Fogarty has a 7.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Metricon Stadium, while the Crows star has an 87.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Gold Coast
- Jack Lukosius: 5.9% probability
- Ben King: 5.8% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 4.5% probability
- Alex Sexton: 4.1% probability
- Levi Casboult: 3.7% probability
Adelaide
- Darcy Fogarty: 7.0% probability
- Izak Rankine: 6.6% probability
- Josh Rachele: 5.4% probability
- Lachlan Gollant: 4.6% probability
- Luke Pedlar: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 81.7% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 78.1% probability
- Alex Sexton: 70.0% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 69.8% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 64.8% probability
Adelaide
- Darcy Fogarty: 87.6% probability
- Izak Rankine: 85.0% probability
- Josh Rachele: 76.9% probability
- Luke Pedlar: 71.2% probability
- Lachlan Gollant: 69.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Gold Coast vs Adelaide game at Metricon Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Gold Coast vs Adelaide: Preview
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Suns and Crows at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:10pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 16 March 2024
- Time: 8:10pm AEDT
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Gold Coast vs Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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