Gold Coast vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2024
Last updated: Jun 29, 2024, 6:02AM | Published: Jun 23, 2024, 11:57PM
Gold Coast will face Collingwood in AFL Round 16 action at Carrara Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Gold Coast vs Collingwood game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Gold Coast vs Collingwood
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Gold Coast-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Suns a 51% chance of beating the Magpies in Round 16 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Gold Coast vs Collingwood Match Centre
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Carrara Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $1.91, Collingwood $2.08
- Line: Gold Coast +1.5 ($1.82), Collingwood -1.5 ($2.14)
- Total (Over/Under 163.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $1.92
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Gold Coast at $1.91 and Collingwood at $2.08.
The Suns are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.82 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Magpies (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.14.
The over/under for total points scored sits at 163.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.96 and odds for the under at $1.92.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Suns (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
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Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $2.08 with Betfair (1.1% edge)
- Line: Collingwood -1.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (0.6% edge)
- Total Points: Under 163.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (53% probability)
Stats Insider's Gold Coast vs Collingwood predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
And while the Suns have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our recommended option because of the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Even though the Suns are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Magpies -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Collingwood at Carrara Stadium this Saturday has Gold Coast winning 81-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Gold Coast vs Collingwood on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Goal Scorers
Searching for Gold Coast vs Collingwood goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Collingwood.
Mihocek has a 6.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Carrara Stadium, while the Magpies star has an 86.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 6.7% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 6.0% probability
- Sam Day: 4.3% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 3.6% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 3.5% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 6.9% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.8% probability
- Nick Daicos: 4.0% probability
- Joe Richards: 3.5% probability
- Nathan Kreuger: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 84.7% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 81.8% probability
- Sam Day: 68.4% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 63.5% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 61.8% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 86.6% probability
- Bobby Hill: 74.3% probability
- Joe Richards: 64.5% probability
- Nick Daicos: 62.1% probability
- Will Hoskin-Elliott: 58.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Gold Coast vs Collingwood game at Carrara Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Preview
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Suns and Magpies at Carrara Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Collingwood
- Date: Saturday 29 June 2024
- Time: 4:35pm AEST
- Venue: Estadio Carrara
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Gold Coast vs Collingwood predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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