Gold Coast vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2024
Last updated: Apr 13, 2024, 8:33AM | Published: Apr 7, 2024, 10:18PM
Gold Coast will play Hawthorn in AFL Round 5 action at Carrara Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Gold Coast vs Hawthorn
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Gold Coast-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Suns a 78% chance of defeating the Hawks at Carrara Stadium.
More: Gold Coast vs Hawthorn Match Centre
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Carrara Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $1.31, Hawthorn $4.10
- Line: Gold Coast -24.5 ($2.08), Hawthorn +24.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.88
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Gold Coast at $1.31 and Hawthorn at $4.10.
The Suns are 24.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $2.08 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Hawks (+24.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for Gold Coast vs Hawthorn is set at 160.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.88.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+24.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 160.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $1.31 with (78% probability)
- Line: Hawthorn +24.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Over 160.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
Stats Insider's Gold Coast vs Hawthorn best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 160.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.08) that are available from Betfair.
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Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Hawthorn at Carrara Stadium this Saturday has Gold Coast winning 90-69.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Gold Coast vs Hawthorn on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Looking for Gold Coast vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Hawthorn.
King has an 8.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Carrara Stadium, while the Suns star has a 91.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 8.3% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 6.0% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 5.3% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.4% probability
- Nick Holman: 3.6% probability
Hawthorn
- Mabior Chol: 6.1% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.2% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.1% probability
- Sam Butler: 3.4% probability
- Connor Macdonald: 2.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 91.0% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 81.2% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 78.3% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 69.8% probability
- David Swallow: 59.3% probability
Hawthorn
- Mabior Chol: 83.4% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 72.6% probability
- Dylan Moore: 67.0% probability
- Sam Butler: 55.5% probability
- Connor Macdonald: 54.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn match at Carrara Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Suns and Hawks at Carrara Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Hawthorn
- Date: Saturday 13 April 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Estadio Carrara
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Gold Coast vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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