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Gold Coast vs Sydney Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 1, 2023

Gold Coast squares off with Sydney in AFL Round 1 action at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 8:00pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Gold Coast vs Sydney, plus the latest betting odds, are featured in this article.

Who will win? Gold Coast vs Sydney

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Gold Coast-Sydney AFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 58% chance of winning against the Suns in Round 1 of the 2023 AFL season.

More: Free Betting Guide for Suns vs Swans

Gold Coast vs Sydney Odds

The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Metricon Stadium are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Gold Coast $2.46, Sydney $1.68
  • Line: Gold Coast +8.5 ($1.96), Sydney -8.5 ($2.00)
  • Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $2.02

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Gold Coast to win at $2.46 and Sydney to win at $1.68.

The Suns are 8.5-point underdogs against the Swans, with odds of $1.96 currently available at Betfair.

For the favourite Swans (-8.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 165.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $2.02.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Suns (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 165.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game

Gold Coast vs Sydney Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Suns at $2.46 with Betfair (1.2% edge)
  • Line: Gold Coast +8.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (53% probability)
  • Total Points: Under 165.5 at $2.02 with Betfair

Today's Suns vs Swans betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Suns to win is our preferred option due to the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the Betfair odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 165.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.02) that are available from Betfair.

Gold Coast vs Sydney Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Suns vs Swans at Metricon Stadium on Saturday has the Swans winning 86-80.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Gold Coast vs Sydney on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Gold Coast vs Sydney match at Metricon Stadium.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023

Gold Coast vs Sydney AFL 2023

The AFL Round 1 clash between the Suns and Swans at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00pm AEDT on Saturday.

  • Game: Gold Coast vs Sydney
  • Date: Saturday 18 March 2023
  • Time: 8:00pm AEDT
  • Venue: Metricon Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

More About AFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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