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Guardians vs Royals Prediction and MLB Tips - 13 April 2025

The Cleveland Guardians will face the Kansas City Royals in MLB action at Progressive Field on Sunday, starting at 8:10am AEST.

Luis L. Ortiz (0-2, 8.44 ERA) will start on the mound for the Guardians, up against Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 3.18 ERA) for the Royals.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Guardians vs Royals game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Cleveland vs Kansas City MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Guardians a 53% chance of defeating the Royals at Progressive Field.

Guardians vs Royals: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Progressive Field are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Guardians $1.74, Royals $2.15
  • Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.60), Royals +1.5 ($1.53)
  • Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.74 and the Royals at $2.15.

The Guardians are 1.5-run favourites against the Royals, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.

For the underdog Royals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Royals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Guardians vs Royals: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Kansas City at $2.15 with TAB
  • Line: Royals +1.5 at $1.53 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Our Guardians vs Royals best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Guardians have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Royals to win is our recommended option due to the 2.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Guardians vs Royals: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cleveland vs Kansas City game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Cleveland vs Kansas City match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Guardians vs Royals: Essential Details

The game between the Guardians and Royals at Progressive Field is scheduled to commence at 8:10am AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Cleveland vs Kansas City predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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