GWS vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jul 6, 2024, 8:33AM | Published: Jun 30, 2024, 11:11PM
GWS will take on Carlton in AFL Round 17 action at Giants Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the GWS vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: GWS vs Carlton
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's GWS-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 58% chance of beating the Giants in Round 17 of the 2024 AFL season.
GWS vs Carlton: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Giants Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: GWS $2.48, Carlton $1.66
- Line: GWS +8.5 ($1.89), Carlton -8.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.90
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has GWS at $2.48 and Carlton at $1.66.
The Giants are 8.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.89 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Blues (-8.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The over/under for total points scored has been set at 169.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.04 and odds for the under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Giants (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
GWS vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: GWS at $2.48 with Betfair (2.2% edge)
- Line: GWS +8.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
These GWS vs Carlton betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Giants to win is our preferred option due to the 2.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
GWS vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for GWS vs Carlton at Giants Stadium this Saturday has Carlton winning 85-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of GWS vs Carlton on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
GWS vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for GWS vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in GWS vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 7.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Giants Stadium, while the Blues star has a 90.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
GWS
- Toby Greene: 7.2% probability
- Jesse Hogan: 7.1% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 4.1% probability
- Darcy Jones: 4.0% probability
- Brent Daniels: 3.5% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 7.8% probability
- Harry McKay: 7.0% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.6% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 3.6% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 2.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
GWS
- Jesse Hogan: 88.1% probability
- Toby Greene: 86.9% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 68.5% probability
- Darcy Jones: 67.7% probability
- Brent Daniels: 62.9% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 90.0% probability
- Harry McKay: 88.3% probability
- Matthew Owies: 70.9% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 62.8% probability
- Elijah Hollands: 54.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the GWS vs Carlton match at Giants Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
GWS vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Giants and Blues at Giants Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our GWS vs Carlton predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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