Hawthorn vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2024
Last updated: Jun 1, 2024, 3:32AM | Published: May 26, 2024, 1:36PM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 12 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 1:45pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs Adelaide
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Hawthorn-Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 53% chance of defeating the Crows in Round 12 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Hawthorn vs Adelaide Match Centre
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.92, Adelaide $2.06
- Line: Hawthorn -1.5 ($1.93), Adelaide +1.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $2.16, Under $1.84
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $1.92 and Adelaide at $2.06.
The Hawks are 1.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.93 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Crows (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The over/under for Hawthorn vs Adelaide sits at 165.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.16 and odds for the under at $1.84.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.92 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Line: Hawthorn -1.5 at $1.93 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $1.84 with Betfair (54% probability)
These Hawthorn vs Adelaide betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Hawthorn winning 82-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs Adelaide on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Goal Kickers
Looking for Hawthorn vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Adelaide.
Walker has a 9.6% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Crows star has a 93.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 7.4% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 5.5% probability
- Jack Gunston: 4.7% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.7% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.4% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 9.6% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 7.6% probability
- Josh Rachele: 5.6% probability
- Ben Keays: 3.8% probability
- Chris Burgess: 2.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 85.6% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 79.1% probability
- Mabior Chol: 76.4% probability
- Jack Gunston: 74.4% probability
- Dylan Moore: 72.2% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 93.6% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 87.4% probability
- Josh Rachele: 75.9% probability
- Ben Keays: 64.9% probability
- Chris Burgess: 54.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Adelaide game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Preview
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Hawks and Crows at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 1 June 2024
- Time: 1:45pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Hawthorn vs Adelaide predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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