Hawthorn vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2024

Last updated: Jul 20, 2024, 6:33AM | Published: Jul 15, 2024, 2:07AM

Hawthorn will sqaure off with Collingwood in AFL Round 19 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 4:35pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 53% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 19 of the 2024 AFL season.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:

Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.86, Collingwood $2.14
Line: Hawthorn -0.5 ($1.90), Collingwood +0.5 ($2.00)
Total (Over/Under 157.5 Points): Over $2.10, Under $1.88

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $1.86 and Collingwood at $2.14.

The Hawks are 0.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $1.90 available at Betfair.

For the underdog Magpies (+0.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.00.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 157.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $2.10 for the over and $1.88 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (+0.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 157.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Best Bets

Head to Head: Collingwood at $2.14 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
Line: Collingwood +0.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (53% probability)
Total Points: Over 157.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (50% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.

Stats Insider's Hawthorn vs Collingwood best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Collingwood winning 80-77.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Collingwood match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Goal Kickers

Looking for Hawthorn vs Collingwood goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Hawthorn's Jack Ginnivan is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Collingwood.

Ginnivan has a 5.5% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Hawks star has a 77.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Hawthorn

Jack Ginnivan: 5.5% probability
Luke Breust: 5.3% probability
Mabior Chol: 5.3% probability
Dylan Moore: 4.6% probability
Nick Watson: 4.6% probability

Collingwood

Jamie Elliott: 5.5% probability
Daniel McStay: 4.8% probability
Bobby Hill: 4.7% probability
Reef McInnes: 4.5% probability
Joe Richards: 3.9% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Hawthorn

Mabior Chol: 78.4% probability
Jack Ginnivan: 77.3% probability
Luke Breust: 76.3% probability
Nick Watson: 73.6% probability
Dylan Moore: 71.2% probability

Collingwood

Jamie Elliott: 77.8% probability
Daniel McStay: 72.3% probability
Bobby Hill: 71.7% probability
Reef McInnes: 69.6% probability
Joe Richards: 66.7% probability

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Essential Details

The AFL Round 19 clash between the Hawks and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Hawthorn vs Collingwood
Date: Saturday 20 July 2024
Time: 4:35pm AEST
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.