Hawthorn vs Essendon Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 1, 2023
Last updated: Mar 16, 2023, 1:05AM | Published: Mar 16, 2023, 1:05AM
Hawthorn faces Essendon in AFL Round 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Hawthorn vs Essendon, plus the latest betting odds, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Hawthorn vs Essendon
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Hawthorn-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 51% chance of beating the Hawks in Round 1 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Hawks vs Bombers
Hawthorn vs Essendon AFL Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $2.30, Essendon $1.75
- Line: Hawthorn +9.5 ($1.75), Essendon -9.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn to win at $2.30 and Essendon to win at $1.75.
The Hawks are 9.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $1.75 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bombers (-9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 173.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+9.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 173.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Hawthorn vs Essendon AFL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawks at $2.30 with Betfair (5.4% edge) 🔥
- Line: Hawthorn +9.5 at $1.75 with Betfair (62% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 173.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Our Hawks vs Bombers predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bombers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our recommended option because of the 5.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the Betfair odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Hawthorn vs Essendon Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawks vs Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday has the Bombers prevailing 86-84.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs Essendon on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Essendon game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Hawthorn vs Essendon AFL 2023
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Hawks and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Game: Hawthorn vs Essendon
- Date: Sunday 19 March 2023
- Time: 3:20pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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