Hawthorn vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 1, 2025
Last updated: Mar 11, 2025, 12:50AM | Published: Mar 10, 2025, 1:36AM
Hawthorn will face Essendon in AFL Round 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Hawthorn vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 77% chance of winning against the Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.30, Essendon $3.60
- Line: Hawthorn -22.5 ($1.91), Essendon +22.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.30 and Essendon at $3.60.
The Hawks are 22.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+22.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+22.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +22.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Hawthorn vs Essendon predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Hawthorn winning 93-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Essendon match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Essendon match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Hawks and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Essendon
- Date: Friday 14 March 2025
- Time: 7:40pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Essendon predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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