Hawthorn vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 1, 2025
Last updated: Mar 11, 2025, 12:50AM | Published: Mar 10, 2025, 1:36AM
Hawthorn will face Essendon in AFL Round 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Hawthorn vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 79% chance of defeating the Bombers in Round 1 of the 2025 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.31, Essendon $3.50
- Line: Hawthorn -20.5 ($1.91), Essendon +20.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.31 and Essendon at $3.50.
The Hawks are 20.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+20.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (-20.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.31 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn -20.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Hawthorn winning 94-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Essendon match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Essendon match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Hawks and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Essendon
- Date: Friday 14 March 2025
- Time: 7:40pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Essendon predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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