Hawthorn vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2024

Last updated: Jul 13, 2024, 3:33AM | Published: Jul 8, 2024, 1:04AM

Hawthorn will sqaure off with Fremantle in AFL Round 18 action at York Park on Saturday, starting at 1:45pm AEST.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Fremantle game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs Fremantle

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn-Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 52% chance of winning against the Dockers at York Park.

Hawthorn vs Fremantle: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at York Park are shown below:

Head to Head: Hawthorn $2.08, Fremantle $1.90
Line: Hawthorn +2.5 ($1.89), Fremantle -2.5 ($2.06)
Total (Over/Under 158.5 Points): Over $2.16, Under $1.85

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $2.08 and Fremantle at $1.90.

The Hawks are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Dockers, with odds of $1.89 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the favourite Dockers (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.

The over/under for Hawthorn vs Fremantle is set at 158.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.16 and odds for the under at $1.85.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+2.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying Under.

More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2024

Hawthorn vs Fremantle: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Hawthorn at $2.08 with Betfair (52% probability)
Line: Hawthorn +2.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (55% probability)
Total Points: Over 158.5 at $2.16 with Betfair

Stats Insider's Hawthorn vs Fremantle predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 158.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.16) that are available from Betfair.

Hawthorn vs Fremantle: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Fremantle at York Park on Saturday has Hawthorn prevailing 78-77.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs Fremantle on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Hawthorn vs Fremantle: Goal Kickers

Are you looking for Hawthorn vs Fremantle goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Jye Amiss is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Fremantle.

Amiss has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at York Park, while the Dockers star has an 84.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Hawthorn

Mabior Chol: 5.8% probability
Luke Breust: 5.6% probability
Dylan Moore: 5.1% probability
Nick Watson: 4.8% probability
Calsher Dear: 4.2% probability

Fremantle

Jye Amiss: 7.4% probability
Josh Treacy: 5.6% probability
Sam Sturt: 4.8% probability
Michael Walters: 4.3% probability
Michael Frederick: 4.1% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Hawthorn

Mabior Chol: 79.8% probability
Luke Breust: 78.4% probability
Dylan Moore: 74.7% probability
Nick Watson: 72.5% probability
Calsher Dear: 66.0% probability

Fremantle

Jye Amiss: 84.8% probability
Josh Treacy: 75.3% probability
Sam Sturt: 73.3% probability
Michael Frederick: 67.6% probability
Michael Walters: 67.4% probability

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Fremantle game at York Park.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Hawthorn vs Fremantle: Preview

The AFL Round 18 clash between the Hawks and Dockers at York Park is scheduled to begin at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Hawthorn vs Fremantle
Date: Saturday 13 July 2024
Time: 1:45pm AEST
Venue: York Park

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Hawthorn vs Fremantle predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.