Hawthorn vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2025
Mar 27, 2025, 8:11AM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with GWS in AFL Round 3 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:35pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs GWS game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Hawthorn vs GWS AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 59% chance of defeating the Giants at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.54, GWS $2.50
- Line: Hawthorn -10.5 ($1.91), GWS +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.54 and GWS at $2.50.
The Hawks are 10.5-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Giants (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Giants (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 166.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: GWS at $2.50 with Bet365
- Line: GWS +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Hawthorn vs GWS predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Giants to win is our recommended option due to the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs GWS at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 85-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs GWS match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Goal Scorers
Looking for Hawthorn vs GWS goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, GWS' Jesse Hogan is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs GWS.
Hogan has a 6.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Giants star has an 85.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Nick Watson: 5.9% probability
- Jack Gunston: 5.4% probability
- Mabior Chol: 5.2% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.9% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.7% probability
GWS
- Jesse Hogan: 6.4% probability
- Toby Greene: 6.3% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.5% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 4.2% probability
- Brent Daniels: 3.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Nick Watson: 80.9% probability
- Mabior Chol: 77.6% probability
- Jack Gunston: 77.6% probability
- Dylan Moore: 75.7% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 74.1% probability
GWS
- Jesse Hogan: 85.6% probability
- Toby Greene: 84.3% probability
- Jake Stringer: 77.1% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 68.1% probability
- Brent Daniels: 65.1% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs GWS game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Essential Details
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Hawks and Giants at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:35pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs GWS
- Date: Saturday 29 March 2025
- Time: 7:35pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs GWS predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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