Hawthorn vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 2, 2024
Last updated: Mar 23, 2024, 5:33AM | Published: Mar 20, 2024, 7:03AM
Hawthorn will play the favoured Melbourne in AFL Round 2 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 4:35pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs Melbourne
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Demons a 74% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 2 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Hawthorn vs Melbourne Match Centre
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $3.65, Melbourne $1.37
- Line: Hawthorn +22.5 ($1.90), Melbourne -22.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Hawthorn at $3.65 and Melbourne at $1.37.
The Hawks are 22.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.
For the favourite Demons (-22.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for Hawthorn vs Melbourne has been set at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+22.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 168.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $1.37 with (74% probability)
- Line: Hawthorn +22.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (53% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
These Hawthorn vs Melbourne predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
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Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Melbourne winning 92-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Hawthorn vs Melbourne goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Melbourne.
Fritsch has a 7.0% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has an 87.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 5.2% probability
- Luke Breust: 5.2% probability
- Jack Gunston: 4.6% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.6% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 3.6% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 7.0% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 5.9% probability
- Ben Brown: 5.5% probability
- Christian Petracca: 5.4% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 79.1% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 78.3% probability
- Jack Gunston: 74.2% probability
- Mabior Chol: 71.9% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 63.4% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 87.4% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 83.1% probability
- Ben Brown: 78.3% probability
- Christian Petracca: 77.1% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 69.3% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 2 clash between the Hawks and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 23 March 2024
- Time: 4:35pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Hawthorn vs Melbourne predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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