Hawthorn vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 8, 2025
Last updated: Apr 29, 2025, 5:45AM | Published: Apr 27, 2025, 11:45PM
Hawthorn will face Richmond in AFL Round 8 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Richmond game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Hawthorn vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 96% chance of beating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Richmond: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.05, Richmond $10.00
- Line: Hawthorn -48.5 ($1.91), Richmond +48.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.05 and Richmond at $10.00.
The Hawks are 48.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+48.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 177.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Hawthorn and Richmond have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 177.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.05 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 177.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Hawthorn vs Richmond betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Hawthorn vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Richmond at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is Hawthorn winning 112-64.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Richmond match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Richmond match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 8 clash between the Hawks and Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Richmond
- Date: Sunday 4 May 2025
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Richmond predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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