Hawthorn vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2024
Last updated: May 10, 2024, 6:33PM | Published: May 6, 2024, 2:45AM
Hawthorn will play St Kilda in AFL Round 9 action at York Park on Saturday, beginning at 1:45pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawthorn vs St Kilda game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs St Kilda
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Hawthorn-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 63% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 9 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Hawthorn vs St Kilda Simulated 10K Times
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at York Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $2.66, St Kilda $1.58
- Line: Hawthorn +10.5 ($1.90), St Kilda -10.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 159.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $1.89
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $2.66 and St Kilda at $1.58.
The Hawks are 10.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.90 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Saints (-10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Hawthorn vs St Kilda is set at 159.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.93 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+10.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 159.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $1.58 with Betfair (63% probability)
- Line: Hawthorn +10.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 159.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (53% probability)
Our Hawthorn vs St Kilda predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs St Kilda at York Park on Saturday has St Kilda winning 83-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs St Kilda on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Goal Scorers
Searching for Hawthorn vs St Kilda goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, St Kilda's Max King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs St Kilda.
King has a 9.2% chance of kicking the first goal at York Park, while the Saints star has a 91.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 5.8% probability
- Jack Gunston: 4.6% probability
- Nick Watson: 4.3% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.2% probability
- Calsher Dear: 4.0% probability
St Kilda
- Max King: 9.2% probability
- Tim Membrey: 6.6% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 5.0% probability
- Jack Hayes: 4.3% probability
- Mitch Owens: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 80.8% probability
- Jack Gunston: 70.8% probability
- Calsher Dear: 68.2% probability
- Nick Watson: 68.0% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 67.8% probability
St Kilda
- Max King: 91.1% probability
- Tim Membrey: 84.8% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 72.4% probability
- Mitch Owens: 69.4% probability
- Jack Hayes: 69.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs St Kilda game at York Park.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Hawks and Saints at York Park is scheduled to commence at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Hawthorn vs St Kilda predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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