Hawthorn vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2024
Last updated: Apr 28, 2024, 5:33AM | Published: Apr 21, 2024, 11:51PM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with the favoured Sydney in AFL Round 7 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, commencing at 4:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Sydney game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs Sydney
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Hawthorn-Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 70% chance of beating the Hawks in Round 7 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Hawthorn vs Sydney Match Centre
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $3.70, Sydney $1.37
- Line: Hawthorn +23.5 ($1.84), Sydney -23.5 ($1.97)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $3.70 and Sydney at $1.37.
The Hawks are listed as 23.5-point underdogs against the Swans, with odds of $1.84 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Swans (-23.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.97.
The Over/Under for Hawthorn vs Sydney is set at 170.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+23.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 170.5 points has a 59% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $3.70 with Betfair (2.9% edge)
- Line: Hawthorn +23.5 at $1.84 with Betfair (64% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (59% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
Our Hawthorn vs Sydney best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our preferred option due to the 2.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
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Hawthorn vs Sydney: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Sydney at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday has Sydney winning 89-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs Sydney on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Goal Scorers
Searching for Hawthorn vs Sydney goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Sydney's Tom Papley is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Sydney.
Papley has a 6.0% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Swans star has an 82.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 5.8% probability
- Mabior Chol: 5.2% probability
- Jack Gunston: 4.8% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.4% probability
- Dylan Moore: 3.7% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 6.0% probability
- Logan McDonald: 5.8% probability
- Joel Amartey: 5.2% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 5.1% probability
- Errol Gulden: 4.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 82.5% probability
- Jack Gunston: 76.7% probability
- Mabior Chol: 74.7% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 70.9% probability
- Dylan Moore: 64.0% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 82.6% probability
- Logan McDonald: 79.4% probability
- Joel Amartey: 78.0% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 77.3% probability
- Will Hayward: 73.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Sydney match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Preview
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Hawks and Swans at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Sydney
- Date: Sunday 28 April 2024
- Time: 4:00pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Hawthorn vs Sydney predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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