Heat vs Celtics Prediction and NBA Tips - 28 April 2024
Last updated: Apr 27, 2024, 9:46PM | Published: Apr 25, 2024, 6:01AM
The Miami Heat will play the favoured Boston Celtics in the 2024 NBA Playoffs at Kaseya Center on Sunday, starting at 8:00am AEST.
With star players Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez, the Heat are up against a Celtics side that includes Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Heat vs Celtics game, plus the latest betting odds and player props, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Heat vs Celtics
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Miami-Boston NBA Playoffs game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Celtics a 77% chance of beating the Heat at Kaseya Center.
More: Heat vs Celtics Simulated 10,000 Times
Heat vs Celtics: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Heat $4.60, Celtics $1.27
- Line: Heat +9.5 ($1.94), Celtics -9.5 ($1.99)
- Total (Over/Under 205.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.94
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Heat at $4.60 and the Celtics at $1.27.
The Heat are listed as 9.5-point underdogs against the Celtics, with odds of $1.94 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Celtics (-9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.99.
The Over/Under for Heat vs Celtics sits at 205.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.94.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Heat (+9.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 205.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Heat vs Celtics: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $4.60 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
- Line: Heat +9.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 205.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Heat vs Celtics predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Celtics have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Heat to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Heat vs Celtics: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Celtics at Kaseya Center on Sunday has the Celtics winning 107-98.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Miami vs Boston on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, computer tips, and live updates.
Heat vs Celtics: Player Props
Betting on Boston vs Miami player props? Stats Insider uses the best data available to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds and assists.
Tyler Herro is expected to lead the way for the Heat with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jayson Tatum is projected to have 32 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists for the Celtics.
Heat Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 6 | 5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 20 | 10 | 5 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 11 | 4 | 3 |
| Duncan Robinson | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Caleb Martin | 10 | 5 | 2 |
Celtics Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 32 | 9 | 5 |
| Jaylen Brown | 28 | 7 | 3 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 20 | 8 | 3 |
| Derrick White | 14 | 4 | 6 |
| Jrue Holiday | 12 | 5 | 5 |
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs Boston match-up at Kaseya Center.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Heat vs Celtics: Preview
The NBA game between the Heat and Celtics in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 8:00am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics
- Date: Sunday 28 April 2024
- Time: 8:00am AEST
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Miami vs Boston predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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