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Heat vs Celtics Prediction and NBA Tips - 30 April 2024

The Miami Heat will sqaure off with the favoured Boston Celtics in the 2024 NBA Playoffs at Kaseya Center on Tuesday, commencing at 9:30am AEST.

With star players Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez, the Heat are up against a Celtics team that includes Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Heat vs Celtics game, plus the latest betting odds and player props, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Heat vs Celtics

Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Miami-Boston NBA Playoffs game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Celtics a 79% chance of beating the Heat at Kaseya Center.

More: Heat vs Celtics Simulated 10K Times

Heat vs Celtics: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Heat $5.50, Celtics $1.21
  • Line: Heat +10.5 ($1.95), Celtics -10.5 ($1.97)
  • Total (Over/Under 205.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.83

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Heat at $5.50 and the Celtics at $1.21.

The Heat are 10.5-point underdogs against the Celtics, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the favourite Celtics (-10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.97.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 205.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.06 and odds for the Under at $1.83.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Heat (+10.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 205.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Heat vs Celtics: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Miami at $5.50 with Betfair (2.9% edge)
  • Line: Heat +10.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (53% probability)
  • Total Points: Over 205.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (51% probability)

Stats Insider's Heat vs Celtics betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Celtics have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Heat to win is our preferred option because of the 2.9% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Heat vs Celtics: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Celtics at Kaseya Center this Tuesday has the Celtics winning 107-97.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Miami vs Boston on Tuesday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live updates.

Heat vs Celtics: Player Props

Player props are an exciting way to bet on Heat vs Celtics without necessarily betting on the outcome of the game itself.

Stats Insider uses the best information available to predict how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Tyler Herro is expected to step up for the Heat with 21 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jayson Tatum is projected to have 32 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists for the Celtics.

Heat Projected Box Score

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Tyler Herro 21 6 5
Bam Adebayo 20 10 5
Jaime Jaquez 12 4 3
Nikola Jovic 11 6 3
Caleb Martin 10 5 3

Celtics Projected Box Score

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Jayson Tatum 32 10 5
Jaylen Brown 27 7 3
Kristaps Porzingis 18 7 2
Derrick White 13 4 6
Jrue Holiday 12 5 5

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Boston game at Kaseya Center.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NBA game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Heat vs Celtics: Preview

The NBA match-up between the Heat and Celtics in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 9:30am AEST on Tuesday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Miami vs Boston predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NBA

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, predictions for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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